For_PRP the_AT0 first_ORD time_NN1 in_PRP 11_CRD months_NN2 ,_PUN the_AT0 daily_AJ0 average_NN1 of_PRF new_AJ0 coronavirus_NN1 infections_NN2 in_PRP the_AT0 United_NP0 States_NP0 has_VHZ fallen_VVN below_PRP 30_CRD ,_PUN 000_CRD amid_PRP continuing_AJ0 signs_NN2 that_CJT most_DT0 communities_NN2 across_PRP the_AT0 nation_NN1 are_VBB emerging_VVG from_PRP the_AT0 worst_AJS of_PRF the_AT0 pandemic_AJ0 ._SENT The_AT0 seven-day_AJ0 average_NN1 dipped_VVD to27_CRD ,_PUN 815_CRD on_PRP Friday_NP0 ,_PUN the_AT0 lowest_AJS since_PRP June_NP0 22_CRD and_CJC less_AV0 than_CJS a_AT0 tenth_ORD of_PRF the_AT0 infection_NN1 rate_NN1 during_PRP the_AT0 winter_NN1 surge_NN1 ,_PUN according_VVG to_TO0 state_VVI health_NN1 department_NN1 data_NN0 compiled_VVN by_PRP The_AT0 Washington_NP0 Post_NN1 ._SENT The_AT0 pandemic_AJ0 map_NN1 remains_VVZ speckled_AJ0 with_PRP hot_AJ0 spots_NN2 ,_PUN including_PRP parts_NN2 of_PRF the_AT0 Deep_AJ0 South_NN1 ,_PUN the_AT0 Rocky_NP0 Mountains_NP0 and_CJC the_AT0 Pacific_NP0 Northwest_NN1 ._SENT At_PRP the_AT0 local_AJ0 level_NN1 ,_PUN progress_NN1 against_PRP the_AT0 contagion_NN1 has_VHZ not_XX0 been_VBN uniform_AJ0 as_PRP some_DT0 communities_NN2 struggle_VVB with_PRP inequities_NN2 in_PRP vaccine_NN1 distribution_NN1 and_CJC in_PRP the_AT0 health_NN1 impacts_NN2 of_PRF the_AT0 virus_NN1 ._SENT But_CJC the_AT0 vast_AJ0 bulk_NN1 of_PRF the_AT0 American_AJ0 landscape_NN1 has_VHZ turned_VVN pale_AJ0 green_NN1 ,_PUN the_AT0 color-code_NN1 for_PRP "_PUQ low_AJ0 or_CJC moderate_AJ0 "_PUQ viral_AJ0 burden_NN1 ,_PUN in_PRP a_AT0 Covid-19_NP0 Community_NN1 Profile_NN1 Report_NN1 released_VVD this_DT0 week_NN1 by_PRP the_AT0 Biden_NP0 administration_NN1 ._SENT The_AT0 report_NN1 showed_VVD 694_CRD counties_NN2 still_AV0 have_VHB "_PUQ high_AJ0 "_PUQ levels_NN2 of_PRF transmission_NN1 ,_PUN less_AV0 than_CJS half_AV0 as_CJS many_DT0 as_CJS in_PRP mid-April_NP0 ._SENT The_AT0 big_AJ0 question_NN1 now_AV0 is_VBZ whether_CJS the_AT0 virus_NN1 will_VM0 be_VBI thoroughly_AV0 squelched_VVN through_PRP mounting_AJ0 vaccinations_NN2 –_PUN or_CJC whether_CJS it_PNP will_VM0 smolder_NN1 in_PRP areas_NN2 with_PRP low_AJ0 inoculation_NN1 rates_NN2 and_CJC potentially_AV0 flare_VVB when_CJS colder_AJC weather_NN1 returns_NN2 ,_PUN said_VVD David_NP0 Rubin_NP0 ,_PUN director_NN1 of_PRF PolicyLab_NN1 at_PRP Children_NN2 's_POS Hospital_NN1 of_PRF Philadelphia_NP0 ,_PUN which_DTQ has_VHZ been_VBN modeling_VVG the_AT0 outbreak_NN1 for_PRP more_DT0 than_CJS a_AT0 year_NN1 ._SENT Rubin_NP0 said_VVD the_AT0 answer_NN1 will_VM0 depend_VVI in_PRP large_AJ0 measure_NN1 on_PRP the_AT0 individual_AJ0 choices_NN2 of_PRF tens_CRD of_PRF millions_CRD of_PRF Americans_NN2 ,_PUN especially_AV0 whether_CJS they_PNP get_VVB inoculated_VVN ._SENT "_PUQ If_CJS we_PNP 're_VBB continuing_VVG to_TO0 have_VHI disease_NN1 reservoirs_NN2 and_CJC we_PNP have_VHB areas_NN2 with_PRP low_AJ0 vaccinations_NN2 ,_PUN it_PNP 'll_VM0 hang_VVI on_AVP until_PRP the_AT0 fall_NN1 and_CJC start_VVB to_TO0 pick_VVI up_AVP pace_NN1 again_AV0 ._SENT It_PNP 'll_VM0 find_VVI pockets_NN2 where_AVQ there_EX0 are_VBB unvaccinated_AJ0 individuals_NN2 ,_PUN and_CJC have_VHB these_DT0 sporadic_AJ0 outbreaks_NN2 ,_PUN "_PUQ Rubin_NP0 said_VVD ._SENT The_AT0 group_NN1 's_POS latest_AJS blog_NN1 post_NN1 states_VVZ that_CJT "_PUQ the_AT0 national_AJ0 decline_NN1 in_PRP case_NN1 incidence_NN1 is_VBZ likely_AJ0 to_TO0 be_VBI slow_AJ0 with_PRP a_AT0 long_AJ0 tail_NN1 ,_PUN attributed_VVN to_PRP smoldering_AJ0 transmission_NN1 –_PUN most_AV0 likely_AJ0 from_PRP decreased_AJ0 mask_NN1 use_NN1 in_PRP areas_NN2 with_PRP poor_AJ0 vaccine_NN1 uptake_NN1 ._SENT "_PUQ One_CRD prominent_AJ0 model_NN1 ,_PUN from_PRP the_AT0 Institute_NN1 for_PRP Health_NN1 Metrics_NN2 and_CJC Evaluation_NN1 at_PRP the_AT0 University_NN1 of_PRF Washington_NP0 ,_PUN forecasts_VVZ fewer_DT0 than_CJS 7_CRD ,_PUN 000_CRD daily_AJ0 cases_NN2 by_PRP mid-August_NP0 and_CJC fewer_DT0 than_CJS 120_CRD deaths_NN2 ,_PUN which_DTQ is_VBZ about_PRP one-fifth_CRD the_AT0 current_AJ0 number_NN1 –_PUN levels_NN2 not_XX0 seen_VVN since_PRP March_NP0 2020_CRD ,_PUN soon_AV0 after_PRP the_AT0 virus_NN1 first_ORD seeded_VVD itself_PNX in_PRP the_AT0 United_NP0 States_NP0 ._SENT The_AT0 same_DT0 modelers_NN2 believe_VVB the_AT0 virus_NN1 will_VM0 have_VHI some_DT0 form_NN1 of_PRF resurgence_NN1 in_PRP the_AT0 colder_AJC months_NN2 that_CJT follow_VVB ,_PUN and_CJC people_NN0 who_PNQ had_VHD stopped_VVN wearing_VVG masks_NN2 would_VM0 need_VVI to_TO0 resume_VVI wearing_VVG them_PNP to_TO0 limit_VVI viral_AJ0 spread_NN1 ._SENT 
